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Economic slowdown 'due to rebalancing'

China's economy grew by 7.6 percent year-on-year in the first half, a marked slowdown incomparison with near double-digit growth recorded two years ago.

A government spokesman said that reducing the growth rate is aimed at making room forrebalancing the economy.

The nation is capable of keeping growth momentum steady for the rest of the year, eventhough the economic environment is expected to remain grim and complicated, he added.

The government's yearly GDP growth target for 2013, set earlier this year, is 7.5 percent.

Sheng Laiyun, spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics, said that despite the slowdown,China's growth is still higher than that in other major economies.

The nation saw economic growth fall to 7.5 percent in the second quarter, from 7.7 percent inthe first and 7.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2012.

Investment was the biggest growth driver in the first half of the year, contributing 4.1percentage points to the 7.6 percent rate, while consumption contributed 3.4 percentage pointsand net exports 0.1 percentage point, the bureau said.

Industrial output in the first six months grew by 9.3 percent from a year earlier, compared with a10.5 percent increase in the first half of 2012.

Annual growth of fixed-asset investment in the first half lost some steam, rising 20.1 percentyear-on-year, down from 20.9 percent.

Meanwhile, consumer goods retail sales rose by 12.7 percent, 1.7 percentage points lowerthan in the first two quarters of 2012.

The slowdown was caused by the weak global economic recovery and measures taken by thenew leadership, Sheng said.

Jonathan Holslag, a research fellow at the Brussels Institute of Contemporary China Studies,said the figures send a very strong signal that the central government is making efforts torebalance the economy.

"The growth rate is still optimistic when considering the scale of China's economy and is stillcontributing a lot to the global economy," said Holslag.

But he said this year will be very challenging for the country to restructure the economy againsta backdrop of global hardship. Holslag stressed that the risks the government faces come fromthe banking sector and the stock market.

Wang Jun, a senior economist at the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, agovernment think tank in Beijing, said China still faces pressure from downside risks in thesecond half.

"It may push the government to take measures ... to further expand domestic demand.Otherwise, difficulties may arise from tight local government financing and increasingunemployment," Wang said.

He denied that a large stimulus package will be needed, as the new leadership may tolerate agrowth rate of no less than 7 percent.

After the statistics bureau released the first-half growth figures, JPMorgan Chase downgradedits forecast for the year's growth to 7.4 percent from 7.6 percent, saying manufacturinginvestment and overseas demand remain weak.

"A slowdown of GDP growth to 7.5 percent will not trigger a change in policy stance," said ZhuHaibin, chief economist in China with the US bank.

"The new government made it clear that it is willing to tolerate slower growth for better quality ofgrowth. Economic restructuring is the priority task going ahead." Zhu said.

On Monday, Nomura Securities said it will keep its GDP growth forecast for this year at 7.5percent, but lower it to 6.9 percent for 2014.

"We expect growth to bottom in the second quarter of 2014 at 6.5 percent," said Zhang Zhiwei,the chief economist in China for the company.

"We now expect the central bank to cut the reserve requirement ratio by 50 basis points ineach quarter from the third quarter of this year to the second in 2014," Zhang said.

He does not view this cut as a policy easing measure, but as a measure to react to liquidityoutflows.

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